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Adjustment Of Domestic Cotton And Global Market Changes

2013/6/15 19:24:00 41

Cotton MarketSupply And Demand Of CottonCotton Reserves

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< p > under the support of national policies, the price of the whole a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton < /a > market is relatively stable in China.

A picture can be expressed in a straight line and all kinds of data are public.

There is little to say about the situation.

I'll put together the data of our cotton association to give you a brief review.

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< p > the whole cotton market is still in a big environment for the past year, the European debt crisis is worsening, the global economy is slowing down, the domestic economic growth rate is down, the purchasing and storage policy continues to support the market, the policies dominate the market, the internal and external spreads are relatively large, and < a target= "_blank" href= "http:// www.sjfzxm.com/" > textile > /a > demand weakens.

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< p > cotton supply and demand situation, the output analysis of China Cotton Association is 7 million 420 thousand tons, the source of our data is based on several aspects, the basic data is from more than 2800 farmers' sampling survey.

The second aspect is based on the correction of data from 15 cotton producing provinces and autonomous regions Cotton Association.

The third aspect is based on our expert consultation from more than a dozen cotton related departments, especially the Xinjiang data, referring to the analysis of data from railway pport departments and quality control departments, and so on, so the output is 7 million 420 thousand tons.

In this year, the quantity of imports was 3 million 170 thousand tons by April, and the collection and storage yesterday was 6 million 500 thousand tons. The number of actual warehousing is still larger than this data.

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< p > > a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_s.asp" > reserve cotton < /a > the number of released as of June 6th was 2 million 500 thousand tons.

In terms of demand, we are optimistic that we can estimate about 8 million 500 thousand tons based on the analysis of various aspects. But in fact, the data may also be needed to accelerate the growth rate in the next few months.

This chart shows an analysis of China's cotton output by various departments. We generally raise the output data based on the situation of collecting and storing.

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< p > at present, the USDA Department of agriculture forecasts the highest data and the National Bureau of statistics has the lowest forecast.

Cotton production from now on, especially the purchase and storage, is an excellent opportunity for the production of Xinjiang and the mainland of China. Now the cotton output in Xinjiang has exceeded half of the country's total, accounting for 56% of the total output of the country.

Our cotton association predicts that Xinjiang's cotton output will exceed 4 million 200 thousand tons.

At the time of expert analysis, some department experts have also analyzed that the production of Xinjiang is likely to reach 4 million 500 thousand tons.

Especially since 2008, the proportion of cotton output in Xinjiang has been on the rise in a straight line.

Now the mainland, especially in Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu and other provinces, has seen a very large decline in cotton production.

For example, Henan Province, its cotton area may only be equivalent to ten years ago, before the Henan cotton sown area can be more than twelve million acres, but now it may be about two hundred to three million acres, the rate of decline is very alarming.

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